Instructions
Inspect your stamp for signs of age. Look for muted coloring, a slight tanning to the paper and softening to the corners. If a stamp is very early, it is usually "imperforate," that is, it lacks a perforated edge. Postmasters used to snip individual stamps from a sheet (known as a "block"). In the 1850s, a machine was introduced to punch lines of holes between the stamps.
Check the stamp's printed value or "denomination." The higher the denomination, the fewer would have originally been in circulation. Bear in mind that a printed value that seems inexpensive as of 2010 might have been quite costly to letter-writers of a hundred or so years ago. In 1893, for instance, a five-dollar stamp was issued to commemorate the Columbian Exposition -- a princely sum at the time.
Research the stamp in your local library in guides such as the "Scott U.S. Stamp Pocket Catalog." It's only by studying such guides carefully that you will discover if some other factor might come into play. Collectors place great store on subtle variations in paper or color, tiny flaws in the printing process and what are known as "marginal markings," printer's codes which occasionally creep onto the stamps. For instance, there is a collectible variant of the 37-cent commemorative stamp for the Athens Olympic Games of 2004 with a marginal marking along its bottom edge. However, it can take some perseverance to spot these minuscule errors.